February 12, 2025
Prices of crud oil fell in the global commodity market on Wednesday despite US crude inventories and uncertainties around Federal Reserve monetary policy.
According to latest report, US Federal Reserve would maintain a cautious approach to interest rate cuts amidst President Donald Trump calls for lower rates.
In the analysis monitored on Marketforce Africa, analysts hinted that the ongoing supply concerns stemming from the Russia-Ukraine conflict continued to weigh on the market.
The international benchmark Brent crude fell by 0.7%, trading at $76.19 per barrel while the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) decreased by 0.8%, settling at $72.46 per barrel, compared to its prior session close of $73.02.
Oil prices continued its fall on Wednesday amid uncertainty over Federal Reserve’s (Fed), interest rate cut decision. The Fed Chairman Jerome Powell had on Tuesday, said that the US Federal Reserve was not in a hurry to adjust its policy stance, during a congressional committee.
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Powell told the Senate’s Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee, that ‘With our policy stance now significantly less restrictive than it had been and the economy remaining strong, we do not need to be in a hurry to adjust our policy stance”.
He explained that they will evaluate incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks when assessing the scope and timing of additional adjustments to the policy rate.
‘If the economy remains strong and inflation does not continue to move sustainably toward 2%, we can maintain policy restraint for longer. If the labor market were to weaken unexpectedly or inflation were to fall more quickly than anticipated, we can ease policy accordingly,’ he maintained.
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The bank’s cautious approach signals a potential slowdown in economic activity in the world’s largest oil-consuming nation, further contributing to the decline in prices. The dwindling movement in oil prices was further supported by data suggesting a larger-than-expected rise in US oil stocks, reflecting market concerns about weakening domestic demand.
Meanwhile, Trump’s decision to impose a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports, as well as tariffs on key US trading partners, raised concerns that ‘trade wars’ could escalate. Comprehensive tariffs are expected to suppress oil prices in the short term.
However, reports of a Ukrainian attack damaging a Russian oil refinery in the Saratov region in an overnight attack limited downward price movements by fueling market players’ supply concerns. Ukraine’s General Staff reported that the military struck the Saratov Oil Refinery, which produces over 20 types of oil products, including gasoline, fuel oil and, diesel fuel.
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