Oil Prices Drop Amidst U.S. Shutdown Countdown

September 30, 2025

Jitters over US budget talks, a new US proposal aimed at resolving the Gaza conflict and the prospect of more OPEC+ supply culminated to a slight fall in oil prices on Tuesday.

Brent crude was trading at $66.66 per barrel at 9.46 a.m. local time (0646 GMT), down 0.06% from the previous close of $66.70. US benchmark West Texas Intermediate, WTI, decreased by 0.06% to $62. 92 from $62.96 in the prior session.

The focus is on the OPEC+ meeting on October 5, where Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman are expected to decide November output.

The group had last month agreed to raise production by 137,000 barrels a day in October.
Analysts say expectations of further increases are reinforcing forecasts of excess supply in global markets.

READ MORE; Oil Prices Drop Below $66 In Global Commodity Market

A possible US government shutdown are weighing on prices caused worries on the demand side, US Vice President JD Vance said Monday that chances of avoiding a shutdown were slim as a pivotal October 1 deadline approaches.

Vance told reporters at the White House shortly after meeting with the top Republican and Democratic leaders in Congress, that, “I think we’re headed to a shutdown because the Democrats won’t do the right thing. I hope they change their mind, but we’re going to see.”

Meanwhile, a 20-point Gaza plan announced Monday by US President Donald Trump raised questions over its implementation. However, the proposal has temporarily eased regional tensions and lowered the risk premium in oil markets.

READ MORE; U.S Inflation Concern, OPEC+ Output Surges Trigger Drop In Oil Prices

Trump unveiled the plan at a White House news conference with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

The proposal envisions transforming Gaza into “a deradicalized terror-free zone that does not pose a threat to its neighbors” while ensuring the enclave “will be redeveloped for the benefit of the people of Gaza, who have suffered more than enough.”

Under the plan, “if both sides agree to this proposal, the war will immediately end,” with Israeli forces withdrawing to agreed positions. During this process, all military operations will be suspended, and the battle lines will be frozen until the necessary conditions for a phased withdrawal are met.

Idris Buba
Idris Buba
Correspondent

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